@InCollection{MarengoOlivAlve:2016:ClChSc,
author = "Marengo, Jos{\'e} A. and Oliveira, Gilvan Sampaio de and Alves,
Lincoln Muniz",
title = "Climate change scenarios in the Pantanal",
booktitle = "Dynamics of the Pantanal wetland in South America",
publisher = "Springer",
year = "2016",
editor = "Bergier, Ivan and Assine, Mario Luis",
pages = "227--238",
keywords = "Pantanal, Climate change, Wetland.",
abstract = "The South America Pantanal is a large floodplain wetland in the
center of the Upper Paraguay River Basin, which has a total area
of around 360,000 km2. Large sectors of the Pantanal floodplain
are submerged from 4 to 8 months each year by water depths from a
few centimeters to more than 2 m. Changes in rainfall and
temperature and also on land use can affect significantly the
flood season with severe consequences for downstream inhabitants.
However, impact of climate change on wetlands is small so far
compared to the damage caused by the lack of management at the
local level due to land-use change. In this chapter we assess
climate and hydrology variability for the present and projections
of climate change using the global climate models from the Fifth
Assessment Report (AR5) from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC). Projections show that by the end of the
century, temperatures can increase up to 7°C and rainfall can
decrease in both summer and particularly winter. The possibility
of longer dry spells and increased evaporation may affect the
water balance in the region. However, uncertainties on climate
projections are still high, particular for rainfall.",
affiliation = "{Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais
(CEMADEN)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}
and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
isbn = "9783319187341",
label = "lattes: 2194275113941232 3 MarengoSampAlve:2016:ClChSc",
language = "en",
url = "http://www.springer.com/br/book/9783319187341",
volume = "37",
urlaccessdate = "13 maio 2024"
}